{"id":18049,"date":"2024-01-17T08:47:57","date_gmt":"2024-01-17T08:47:57","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/soicau4018.minhngocxoso.com\/?p=18049"},"modified":"2024-01-17T08:47:57","modified_gmt":"2024-01-17T08:47:57","slug":"mot-so-cach-tinh-xac-suat-xo-so-don-gian-hieu-qua","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xsmbmienphi.com\/mot-so-cach-tinh-xac-suat-xo-so-don-gian-hieu-qua\/","title":{"rendered":"m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 \u0111\u01a1n gi\u1ea3n, hi\u1ec7u qu\u1ea3"},"content":{"rendered":"

<\/p>\n\n\n

X\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi y\u00eau th\u00edch. N\u00f3 c\u00f3 t\u00ednh may r\u1ee7i t\u1ea5t cao. Tuy nhi\u00ean n\u1ebfu b\u1ea1n n\u1eafm \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 th\u00ec c\u0169ng s\u1ebd l\u00e0m t\u0103ng \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c kh\u1ea3 n\u0103ng tr\u00fang gi\u1ea3i c\u1ee7a m\u00ecnh. B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft h\u00f4m nay ch\u00fang t\u00f4i s\u1ebd h\u01b0\u1edbng d\u1eabn c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1. H\u00e3y c\u00f9ng theo d\u00f5i nh\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 1 con l\u00f4<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

\u0110\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 t\u00ednh \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t c\u1ee7a 1 con l\u00f4 ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i b\u1eaft bu\u1ed9c ph\u1ea3i quy n\u00f3 v\u1ec1 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 ph\u1ea7n tr\u0103m t\u01b0\u01a1ng \u1ee9ng 100%. Sau \u0111\u00f3 s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1c quy lu\u1eadt ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 \u0111\u1ec3 t\u00ednh.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Khi t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t 1 con l\u00f4 b\u1ea1n c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i theo d\u00f5i k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 h\u00e0ng ng\u00e0y th\u01b0\u1eddng xuy\u00ean v\u00e0 l\u00e2u d\u00e0i. \u0110\u1ed3ng th\u1eddi c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i theo d\u00f5i v\u00e0 ph\u00e2n t\u00edch \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 \u0111\u01b0a ra quy\u1ebft \u0111\u1ecbnh \u0111\u00fang \u0111\u1eafn nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

D\u1ef1a tr\u00ean quy lu\u1eadt x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 mi\u1ec1n B\u1eafc th\u00ec ch\u00fang ta s\u1ebd c\u00f3 quy\u1ec1n l\u1ef1a ch\u1ecdn 1 trong 100 c\u1eb7p con s\u1ed1 t\u1eeb 00 cho t\u1edbi 99. \u0110\u1ec3 c\u00f3 \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u00fang 27 gi\u1ea3i th\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ee7a x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 m\u00e0 \u0111\u00e0i quay \u0111\u01b0a ra th\u00ec x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t t\u1ed1i thi\u1ec3u ph\u1ea3i \u0111\u1ea1t \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c 27%. Tuy nhi\u00ean x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t khi ch\u01a1i l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 ch\u1ec9 r\u01a1i v\u00e0o kho\u1ea3ng 23,76%. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t m\u00e0 2 s\u1ed1 cu\u1ed1i tr\u00f9ng nhau.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c t\u00ednh d\u1ef1a tr\u00ean thu\u1eadt to\u00e1n nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

X\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang v\u00e9 s\u1ed1 = 23,76% x 23,76%= 5,6%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

So v\u1edbi x\u00e1c xu\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang th\u00ec x\u00e1c xu\u1ea5t tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng s\u1ebd th\u1ea5p h\u01a1n h\u1eb3n. \u0110i\u1ec1u n\u00e0y c\u0169ng \u0111\u1ed3ng ngh\u0129a v\u1edbi \u0111\u1ed9 kh\u00f3 c\u1ee7a n\u00f3 cao h\u01a1n. V\u00ec v\u1eady khi t\u00ednh to\u00e1n ng\u01b0\u1eddi ch\u01a1i c\u1ea7n ph\u1ea3i th\u1eadt c\u1ea9n th\u1eadn v\u00e0 t\u1ec9 m\u1ec9 \u0111\u1ec3 thu \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c k\u1ebft qu\u1ea3 ch\u00ednh x\u00e1c nh\u1ea5t.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

T\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 n\u00e0y s\u1ebd \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng cho t\u1ea5t c\u1ea3 c\u00e1c lo\u1ea1i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 l\u00f4 xi\u00ean kh\u00e1c nhau. Ch\u1ee9 kh\u00f4ng ph\u1ea3i ch\u1ec9 s\u1eed d\u1ee5ng ri\u00eang cho b\u1ea5t k\u00ec lo\u1ea1i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 n\u00e0o.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3<\/h2>\n\n\n\n

V\u1edbi c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t n\u00e0y c\u0169ng t\u01b0\u01a1ng t\u1ef1 nh\u01b0 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh c\u1ee7a l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2. Tuy nhi\u00ean t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng v\u00e9 s\u1ed1 c\u1ee7a l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3 l\u00e0 \u00edt h\u01a1n. C\u00e1ch t\u00ednh c\u1ee5 th\u1ec3 s\u1ebd nh\u01b0 sau:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

\"Nu\u00f4i<\/figure>\n\n\n\n

Gi\u1ea3 s\u1eed g\u1ecdi x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t kh\u00f4ng v\u1ec1 3 con l\u00e0 A, x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t v\u1ec1 1 con l\u00e0 B v\u00e0 x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t ch\u1ec9 v\u1ec1 2 con l\u00e0 C. Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady ch\u00fang ta c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 r\u00fat ra \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c c\u00f4ng th\u1ee9c t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 l\u00e0 l\u00e0:<\/p>\n\n\n\n

+ Kh\u00f4ng tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3= A+ B + C = (0,97^27) + (3 * 23,7675% * 0,98^27) + (3 * 5,8% * 0,99^27) = 0,9851 ~ 98,527%.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

Nh\u01b0 v\u1eady c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1ea5y r\u1eb1ng x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t tr\u00fang l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3 s\u1ebd b\u1eb1ng 100% \u2013 98, 527% = 1,473%. \u0110\u00e2y ch\u00ednh l\u00e0 t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t. C\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng c\u1ef1c l\u1edbn l\u00ean t\u1edbi h\u01a1n 1 t\u1ef7 \u0111\u1ed3ng. Th\u1ebf nh\u01b0ng t\u1ef7 l\u1ec7 tr\u00fang n\u00e0y l\u00e0 c\u1ef1c hi\u1ebfm. Tuy nhi\u00ean \u0111\u1ed1i v\u1edbi nh\u1eefng ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u00f3 kinh nghi\u1ec7m ch\u01a1i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 l\u00e2u n\u0103m v\u00e0 c\u00f3 t\u00ednh to\u00e1n th\u00ec s\u1ebd c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i gi\u00e0nh chi\u1ebfn th\u1eafng. H\u1ecd s\u1ebd \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 v\u00e0 k\u00e8m theo \u0111\u00f3 l\u00e0 y\u1ebfu t\u1ed1 may m\u1eafn \u0111\u1ec3 gi\u00fap c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng cao h\u01a1n.<\/p>\n\n\n\n

B\u00e0i vi\u1ebft tr\u00ean l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t s\u1ed1 c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh x\u00e1c su\u1ea5t x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 m\u00e0 ch\u00fang t\u00f4i mu\u1ed1n chia s\u1ebb \u0111\u1ebfn v\u1edbi c\u00e1c b\u1ea1n. Hy v\u1ecdng \u0111\u00e2y l\u00e0 nh\u1eefng th\u00f4ng tin h\u1eefu \u00edch gi\u00fap b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u00eam nhi\u1ec1u kinh nghi\u1ec7m ch\u01a1i x\u1ed5 s\u1ed1. \u0110\u1eebng bao gi\u1edd b\u1ecf qua c\u00e1ch t\u00ednh n\u00e0y nh\u00e9, b\u1edfi v\u00ec c\u00f3 r\u1ea5t nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi c\u0169ng \u0111\u00e3 tr\u00fang th\u01b0\u1edfng gi\u00e1 tr\u1ecb l\u1edbn khi \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng k\u1ef9 n\u0103ng n\u00e0y. Do \u0111\u00f3 c\u00e1c b\u1ea1n c\u00f3 th\u1ec3 th\u1eed \u0111\u1ec3 c\u00f3 c\u01a1 h\u1ed9i gi\u00e0nh m\u1ed9t v\u00e0i gi\u1ea3i th\u01b0\u1edfng cho b\u1ea3n th\u00e2n nh\u00e9. Ch\u00fac b\u1ea1n \u00e1p d\u1ee5ng th\u00e0nh c\u00f4ng v\u00e0 may m\u1eafn.<\/p>\n\n\n

<\/p>\r\n\r\n

soi c\u1ea7u mi\u1ec1n b\u1eafc super vip <\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 2 nh\u00e1y mb 100% win<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 k\u00e9p mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 k\u00e9p mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u b\u1ea1ch th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u song th\u1ee7 \u0111\u1ec1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 4 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 6 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 8 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n \u0111\u1ec1 10 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 4 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 6 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n

soi c\u1ea7u mi\u1ec1n b\u1eafc suppervip <\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 8 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 2 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 3 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 xi\u00ean 4 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u 3 c\u00e0ng mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n 3 c\u00e0ng 2 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u d\u00e0n l\u00f4 10 s\u1ed1 mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ec1 \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i mb vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n

soi c\u1ea7u mi\u1ec1n nam suppervip <\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i 8 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u bao l\u00f4 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u c\u1eb7p x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i gi\u1ea3i 8 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u l\u00f4 3 s\u1ed1 mn vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n

soi c\u1ea7u mi\u1ec1n trung suppervip <\/span><\/h3>\r\n\r\n
\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u gi\u1ea3i 8 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u bao l\u00f4 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u c\u1eb7p x\u1ec9u ch\u1ee7 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u song th\u1ee7 l\u00f4 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i gi\u1ea3i 8 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u \u0111\u1ea7u \u0111u\u00f4i \u0111\u1eb7c bi\u1ec7t mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n\"\" soi c\u1ea7u l\u00f4 3 s\u1ed1 mt vip<\/strong><\/a>\r\n\r\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

X\u1ed5 s\u1ed1 l\u00e0 m\u1ed9t trong nh\u1eefng tr\u00f2 ch\u01a1i \u0111\u01b0\u1ee3c nhi\u1ec1u ng\u01b0\u1eddi y\u00eau th\u00edch. 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